ABUJA, Nigeria – A new United Nations report has projected that global greenhouse gas emissions could fall by around 10 per cent by 2035 but cautions that the pace of reductions remains insufficient to meet the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C warming limit.
Released Tuesday by the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the 2025 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) Synthesis Report assesses 64 updated national climate plans submitted between January 2024 and September 2025.
The report notes that while emissions are expected to peak before 2030, stronger and faster action is required across all regions.
“The world is bending the emissions curve downward, but not quickly enough,” the UNFCCC said.
If fully implemented, the new pledges would reduce emissions to about 13 gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent by 2035 — around 17 percent below 2019 levels. Fulfilment of conditional commitments could push reductions to nearly 24 percent.
The report also highlights broader climate planning progress: 89 percent of countries now include economy-wide reduction targets, 73 per cent include adaptation plans linked to food security, health, and disaster risk, 70 per cent address just transition strategies, and 88 per cent integrate youth participation
Funding remains a major obstacle, with developing countries estimating implementation costs at $2 trillion.
UNFCCC Executive Secretary Simon Stiell called the findings “a sign of progress, but not victory.”
UN Report Projects Emissions Decline but Warns Progress Remains Slow
